No Straight Lines Investments

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No Straight Lines Investments
SETTING THE TABLE FOR 2025 PART 2

SETTING THE TABLE FOR 2025 PART 2

Jonathan Lansky's avatar
Jonathan Lansky
Jan 06, 2025
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No Straight Lines Investments
No Straight Lines Investments
SETTING THE TABLE FOR 2025 PART 2
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Hello and welcome back to another edition of the No Straight Lines Investments blog, I very much appreciate your time.

As I shared last week, I believe a range-bound 10-year treasury would be an ideal backdrop for equities for 2025.

The first week of the new year thus achieves a green checkmark as yields were down 3 bps for the week.

Chart from Rich Ross, EvercoreISI

Using a longer timeframe, you can see the well-defined trading range for treasury yields.

Interestingly, past equity bull markets exhibit no definitive yield threshold that triggers a correction, as highlighted by Julian Emanuel of EvercoreISI:

What would cause yields to move outside of this well worn flight plan?

If you would like to continue reading, please subscribe for $20/month using the button:

Here’s what’s in store:

  1. Portfolio Stocks - I do a refresh on the remaining 9 names in my holdings. Why should you care? The average, unweighted return is just under 48% since I began writing. More crucially, these are the sorts of ideas that could be additive to your returns, whether tactical or simply not in your usual sphere of thought.

  2. Flows - if you don’t understand where the $$ are being allocated, you are missing out on a key part of the investing puzzle.

  3. Charts of the Week - mostly my portfolio names, but some other gems as well.

  4. Macro that Matters - I highlight the key releases from this past week around the globe. In addition, I make the case for Canadian equities right here, right now.

If this is it, thanks for reading and good luck with your investments.

You can follow me on X (@NSLInvestments), LinkedIn: Jonathan Lansky or on the Chat feature of the Substack app.

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